Loud-Dryer
0x3ce876c8e00601d504c468c3bfab8c8cdfa534dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$20.79
Total PnL
$3.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$10.00
$3.90
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.00
$3.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.89
$0.89
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 85 by April 30?
7 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 85 by April 30?$1.47Apr 14, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$2.00Mar 17, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.80Mar 14, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.65Mar 12, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$6.10Mar 12, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?$1.72Mar 5, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$3.45Mar 5, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMTotal Internet Blackout in Iran by March 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 5, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTotal Internet Blackout in Iran by March 31, 2026?$2.15Feb 23, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$2.00Feb 21, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2.00Feb 21, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?$1.00Feb 21, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Feb 21, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$10.00Feb 21, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$7.51Jan 29, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$1.99Jan 29, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$1.90Jan 28, 14:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $2.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 14:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 23:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.