Warlike-Mincemeat
0x3d1eb7f95941401a058b3bdab4b86ada72b81e21
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-349.39
Realised
$1.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
199210 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$697.24
$498.02
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
128 shares @ 77.8¢·now 84.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$108.14
$8.14
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
110 shares @ 90.6¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$108.02
$8.02
- YES
Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?
115 shares @ 87.2¢·now 93.7¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$107.36
$7.36
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?
114 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$105.66
$5.64
- YES
Will Robert White be the Democratic nominee for DC Delegate?
119 shares @ 83.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$105.60
$5.60
- NO
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
124 shares @ 80.5¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$105.57
$5.57
- YES
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?
115 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$104.62
$4.62
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
115 shares @ 86.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$103.18
$3.18
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
147 shares @ 68.0¢·now 68.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.10
$1.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$24.44Jun 2, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$108.16Jun 1, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$108.24Jun 1, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$99.01Jun 1, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$52.01Jun 1, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$20.00Jun 1, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$20.38Jun 1, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$40.39Jun 1, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$10.08Jun 1, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?$72.79Jun 1, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$29.02Jun 1, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.31Jun 1, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert White be the Democratic nominee for DC Delegate?$100.65Jun 1, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?$100.38Jun 1, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$5.34Jun 1, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$5.29Jun 1, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$5.23Jun 1, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$5.31Jun 1, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$10.15Jun 1, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$10.17Jun 1, 12:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $71.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 15:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 20:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".