Substantial-Mean
0x3d58a8fbb103a2c30946ab4ae9f9ded559cc58c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$74.63
Total PnL
$-0.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
10 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.00
$0.07
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.00
$3.20
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$10.00
$0.80
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 27?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$10.00
$0.01
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.00
$0.03
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.98
$0.02
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 15.1¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.31
$0.29
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 11.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.21
$0.99
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 7.1¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.11
$0.69
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 13.3¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.93
$-0.73
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 27?$9.99May 26, 01:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $6.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.