Stark-Contributor
0x3d7b6b6cc9b811a9e7e637a68fe1a4bc92ae09a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$6.19
Total PnL
$-1.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6 shares @ 52.3¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.90
$-0.10
- NO
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 30.5¢·now 26.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.29
$-0.71
- NO
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 16, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$1.08Apr 10, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artemis II launch by February 28?$0.00Apr 10, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$1.85Apr 10, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-03-26?$6.02Apr 10, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-03-26?$5.00Mar 26, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$1.00Mar 26, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Feb 12, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$1.07Jan 30, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$1.00Jan 30, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYArtemis II booster rupture?$1.00Jan 30, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artemis II launch by February 28?$1.00Jan 30, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$1.00Jan 30, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.05Jan 23, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Jan 23, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.41Jan 23, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$0.50Jan 23, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.00Jan 21, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 16, 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$1.19Jan 15, 09:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 19:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 20:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.