Sweltering-Honey
0x3dafa3ccd0ed8a43364bd237734ad9058b69e888
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$252.80
Total PnL
$-39.8K
Realised
$-11.5K
Win rate
10%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
152 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$150.45
$0.46
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
66 shares @ 30.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$66.40
$46.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$10.75
$0.75
- NO
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
7 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$7.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.70
$-0.30
- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
4 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
2 shares @ 94.9¢·now 94.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.14
$-0.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 27?$3.00May 23, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$100.04May 23, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.21May 23, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?$2.01May 23, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.03May 23, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.07May 23, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$5.03May 23, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?$30.85May 23, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$59.14May 23, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$50.02May 23, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.66May 23, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?$10.05May 23, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?$20.00May 23, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$50.00Apr 13, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?$1.03Apr 13, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?$1.05Apr 13, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Marta Kostyuk$3.75Apr 13, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Madison Keys$4.35Apr 13, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Oksana Selekhmeteva$4.69Apr 13, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini$4.76Apr 13, 18:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $17.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 07:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".