Frightened-Doubter
0x3dd8722827bee815ae8dccd1080576fb42f2d3dd
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-588.75
Realised
$3.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1480 shares @ 67.5¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.1K
$88.01
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
159 shares @ 74.7¢·now 94.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$150.79
$31.79
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
585 shares @ 17.1¢·now 17.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$104.39
$4.39
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1163 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$101.74
$1.75
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
901 shares @ 11.1¢·now 11.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$100.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
633 shares @ 15.8¢·now 15.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$99.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1333 shares @ 7.5¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$99.33
$-0.67
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1149 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$99.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
91 shares @ 55.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$33.69
$-16.32
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$25.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?$6.008h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?$6.679h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?$23.3310h ago
- YIELD$0.0113h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.7717h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.7417h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.7417h ago
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.6717h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.5317h ago
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.4917h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?$4.0018h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$417.9619h ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$26.1520h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$323.8020h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$103.6020h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$103.7020h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$103.6920h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$51.5520h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$51.8220h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$52.4120h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $62.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 16d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
