Usable-Linseed
0x3e0a8847c74b98a0d865e24ae399604ddf67b9cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$72.1K
Total PnL
$-112.4K
Realised
$-5.1K
Win rate
73%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
14609 shares @ 36.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$12.6K
$7.3K
- NO
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
5549 shares @ 93.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.2K
$62.74
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
28490 shares @ 36.2¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$3.6K
$-6.8K
- YES
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
3468 shares @ 91.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$240.27
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
3929 shares @ 80.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$201.51
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.4K
$130.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20511 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.3K
$-37.39
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
3900 shares @ 73.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.2K
$366.50
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
2466 shares @ 87.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$90.99
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2477 shares @ 76.1¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$306.26
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$69.02Jun 13, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$16.78Jun 13, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$104.26Jun 13, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$9.95Jun 13, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$25.67Jun 13, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$14.67Jun 13, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$9.95Jun 13, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$26.19Jun 13, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$208.52Jun 13, 03:42 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$29.32Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.33Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.38Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$3.53Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$999.99Jun 12, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$6.48Jun 12, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$342.61Jun 12, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$11.39Jun 12, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$443.61Jun 12, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$11.68Jun 12, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$14.26Jun 12, 19:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $228.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 04:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.