Starchy-Sword
0x3e411327840f9335dfdebbf0ce290b28696ffb83
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$45.27
Total PnL
$-96.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
21 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$21.46
$16.53
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$9.69
$4.69
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$8.85
$3.85
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.77
$-3.23
- YES
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.17
$-3.83
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Trump strikes Iran during Big Game...?
4573 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $6.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.