Quick-Witted-Terminology
0x3e9b7b4b81ef445b9e1f198f49623d467fd9a0ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
65
Open notional
$505.89
Total PnL
$-13.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
1299 shares @ 29.6¢·now 19.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$253.23
$-131.54
- YES
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?
1090 shares @ 5.5¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$141.76
$81.79
- YES
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
1423 shares @ 3.4¢·now 7.8¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$110.32
$61.60
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
786 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.39
$-54.61
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?
378 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.19
$-48.81
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
1711 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-650.00
- OVER
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5
1558 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- OVER
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5
1449 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- OVER
Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5
1274 shares @ 77.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-991.39
- OVER
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5
1267 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-811.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "USMCA" or "NAFTA" during Michigan remarks?$102.74Jul 27, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$720.44Jul 27, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?$62.24Jul 26, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$26.53Jul 26, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$33.00Jul 26, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1.33Jul 26, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?$49.00Jul 25, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$19.00Jul 25, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$55.00Jul 25, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$300.00Jul 25, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?$377.15Jul 25, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$746.72Jul 25, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$234.74Jul 24, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?$235.38Jul 24, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$89.13Jul 24, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 24?$17.30Jul 24, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 27, 2026?$71.56Jul 24, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 24?$71.00Jul 23, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLGraham Platner divorce by October 31?$71.39Jul 23, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 27, 2026?$42.12Jul 22, 13:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $85.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 21:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.