Acclaimed-Raft
0x3eb7b613bcaebf84ac7032f60f0a09706c0849f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$116.12
Total PnL
$-26.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of July 13 2026?
116 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$116.12
$0.12
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 18?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on March 18?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 18?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 3?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- ANDREA PELLEGRINO
Naples: Andrea Pellegrino vs Vitaliy Sachko
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of July 13 2026?$116.00Jul 17, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?$116.12Jul 17, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?$116.00Jun 30, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 15-21?$115.12Jun 30, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 15-21?$115.01Jun 19, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close at >$465 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?$115.20Jun 19, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close at >$465 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?$115.00Jun 5, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$11.51Jun 5, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$104.21Jun 5, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$104.00May 31, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$103.31May 31, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$103.02May 30, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$11.50May 30, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$13.71May 30, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$89.33May 30, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or higher on May 28?$12.22May 29, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$89.25May 29, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$13.70May 29, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?$102.31May 29, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?$102.02May 28, 08:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $91.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 10:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.