Insignificant-Accord
0x3efc4b5ba9faaa3e3f4a8edd52ee35ecce47c3a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$24.83
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$82.93
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
4 shares @ 90.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.84
$-0.20
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 94.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.72
$0.17
- NO
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
3 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 97.3¢·now 93.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.58
$-0.11
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.38
$0.07
- NO
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 96.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.61
$-0.01
- NO
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.37
$0.00
- NO
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 92.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$1.27
$0.07
- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$0.00
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Alex Warren have a #1 hit in the US in May?$1.25Jun 1, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude go down 9-11 times in May?$1.10Jun 1, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?$2.87Jun 1, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 9-11 times in May?$1.00May 31, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?$1.05May 30, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?$2.71May 30, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.02May 30, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?$1.20May 28, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.01May 24, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Warren have a #1 hit in the US in May?$1.24May 23, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.83May 23, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.12May 23, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?$1.02May 17, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.24May 17, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Apr 27, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$241.17Apr 27, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Babu Santana win Big Brother Brasil 26?$1.00Apr 27, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leandro Rocha win Big Brother Brasil 26?$1.65Apr 27, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?$1.73Apr 27, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$1.80Apr 27, 06:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $41.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 12:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 21:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".