Small-Rent
0x3f1be7dfe04a4499ae6e632558323615886522cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.90
Total PnL
$-6.80
Realised
$-1.14
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.88
$-0.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8PM ET
9 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.47
- YES
Will Celsius say "Competition" during earnings call?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$299.68Jun 17, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?$110.63Jun 17, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$99.90Jun 17, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$300.01Jun 15, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 15, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?$110.02Jun 15, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?$109.09Jun 15, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?$110.02Jun 15, 05:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 28, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?$190.94Apr 27, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$169.82Apr 27, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$116.66Apr 27, 10:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 25, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$116.00Apr 24, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$115.30Apr 24, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$116.00Apr 24, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$170.00Apr 24, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?$190.00Apr 24, 11:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $112.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 05:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 06:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.