Adorable-Daffodil
0x3f2ae63616534ab129a56043e86bd9beccf14837
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$188.59
Total PnL
$33.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
115 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$115.00
$48.30
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
94 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$47.87
$-2.13
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
51 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$25.73
$-1.27
- YES
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$150.00Jan 3, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$58.00Dec 12, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$8.70Dec 12, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$97.50Dec 10, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$28.50Dec 9, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$2.00Dec 9, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$5.09Dec 6, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$4.91Dec 6, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$26.50Dec 3, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?$4.90Nov 25, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$4.15Nov 25, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?$8.70Nov 25, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$4.15Nov 24, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$4.05Nov 24, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$5.04Nov 24, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMonad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$4.30Nov 24, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$9.20Nov 24, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$4.10Nov 24, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$50.08Nov 22, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $400M committed to the Monad public sale?$31.61Nov 22, 05:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $25.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 14:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 08:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.