Average-Jellybeans
0x3f2d1a7e0758d8c57fe4d9678c023b4120402adc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$12.8K
Total PnL
$1.5K
Realised
$3.1K
Win rate
93%
113 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4298 shares @ 16.3¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$651.18
$-49.41
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4296 shares @ 15.2¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$611.74
$-40.44
- YES
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
34176 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$563.90
$-71.77
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1641 shares @ 33.3¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$545.60
$-1.53
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
516 shares @ 67.8¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$343.04
$-6.62
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4947 shares @ 6.6¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$338.84
$14.17
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
6525 shares @ 4.6¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$336.04
$36.91
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
16287 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$333.89
$-123.38
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
18514 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$323.99
$-38.56
- YES
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
2527 shares @ 15.6¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$315.93
$-78.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$24.66Jun 13, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.36Jun 13, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.36Jun 13, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.12Jun 13, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.45Jun 13, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.45Jun 13, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.86Jun 13, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.45Jun 13, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.08Jun 13, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.29Jun 13, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.36Jun 13, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.26Jun 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.44Jun 13, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$14.28Jun 13, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$21.00Jun 13, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$41.20Jun 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.36Jun 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.36Jun 13, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.07Jun 13, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.36Jun 13, 14:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 14:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 113 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.