Fair-Apology-Bucket
0x3f48117184db84f7eebb0ac37e730651dfc0e69b
Quality score
100/100
Open positions
52
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-8.39
Realised
$18.96
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$116.00
$16.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
555 shares @ 21.8¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$113.67
$-7.32
- NO
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
100 shares @ 19.0¢·now 70.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$70.30
$51.30
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
379 shares @ 13.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$53.06
$3.79
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
143 shares @ 35.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.12
$2.14
- NO
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
208 shares @ 24.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$49.98
$0.00
- NO
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
194 shares @ 26.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$45.62
$-4.85
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
357 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.63
$-5.36
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
161 shares @ 31.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.86
$-8.05
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
147 shares @ 33.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.68
$-8.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Humana (HUM) beat quarterly earnings?$22.032h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$100.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$36.702h ago
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?$36.622h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?$52.022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$99.992h ago
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$6.809h ago
- TRADESELLWill a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?$18.209h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?$2.109h ago
- TRADESELLWill a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?$3.7514h ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$13.2215h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?$36.4222h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?$26.3922h ago
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$15.8022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill one person dissent the April Fed decision?$3.681d ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$16.802d ago
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$68.382d ago
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$2.402d ago
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.902d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?$23.102d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $24.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.