Intent-Alpenhorn
0x3f570ca06afc407100761be168c1c1903dd32c27
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-162.66
Realised
$6.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 17?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 26?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on February 2?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 20?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
256 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-107.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$107.10Apr 12, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$107.11Apr 12, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$256.02Apr 5, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$256.01Apr 5, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$249.58Mar 29, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 20?$3.00Mar 20, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMHornets vs. Spurs$14.49Mar 15, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Spurs$10.00Mar 14, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 11?$5.00Mar 11, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 11?$5.00Mar 11, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$20.25Mar 5, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitway FDV above $400M one day after launch?$227.84Mar 5, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitway FDV above $400M one day after launch?$227.06Mar 3, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opinion launch a token on March 5?$225.68Mar 2, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLMavericks vs. Bucks$0.55Mar 2, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLNuggets vs. Grizzlies$0.82Mar 2, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token on March 5?$223.36Mar 2, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1?$1.45Mar 1, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1?$1.00Mar 1, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1?$5.00Mar 1, 03:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $40.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 05:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 07:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.