0x40081de50e0d5445088a60c22509342e2e302942
0x40081de50e0d5445088a60c22509342e2e302942
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$486.07
Total PnL
$143.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1699 shares @ 0.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$315.14
$315.14
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
211 shares @ 45.6¢·now 33.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$70.40
$-25.84
- NO
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
34 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$33.77
$14.52
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$31.37
$-0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$31.34
$-0.02
- YES
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
19 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.06
$-0.19
- YES
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
10 shares @ 67.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.98
$-4.49
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
243 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-95.92
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
158 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-60.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMHurricanes vs. Blue Jackets$0.00Apr 7, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?$31.83Apr 7, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?$31.83Apr 7, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?$31.83Apr 7, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$42.34Apr 7, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$61.86Apr 7, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMIslanders vs. Sabres$87.73Apr 7, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$98.03Apr 7, 14:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 5, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 3, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 2, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 1, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMGrand Prix Hassan II: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Kamil Majchrzak$0.00Mar 31, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMBucharest Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Jay Clarke$0.00Mar 31, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBucharest Open, Qualification: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Dimitar Kuzmanov$0.00Mar 31, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMGrand Prix Hassan II: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller$0.00Mar 31, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucharest Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Jay Clarke$33.77Mar 31, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $34.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 15:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.