Submissive-Notice
0x401ae159abd7f8078c16b5a2ebd9a4c2d6289e00
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$140.16
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-10.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
137 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$136.99
$36.99
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.17
$1.17
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
43782 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
20000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
3125 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
3091 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
1333 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?$10.00Apr 11, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?$10.00Apr 11, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$10.00Apr 11, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$10.00Apr 11, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$400.00Apr 11, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$10.00Apr 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$10.00Apr 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?$10.00Apr 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?$26.71Apr 8, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$50.00Apr 8, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?$10.00Apr 8, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?$50.00Apr 8, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$50.00Apr 8, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$10.00Apr 8, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$100.00Apr 8, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$100.00Apr 8, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$100.00Apr 8, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$100.00Apr 8, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.0KApr 8, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$2.00Mar 31, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $134.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 20:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.