Stupendous-Codling
0x4033cdd39f4e3bafd4d1bae61cb0704fbca678f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
2338 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$1.8K
- NO
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
320 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$320.00
$160.14
- NO
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
216 shares @ 79.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$216.00
$44.65
- YES
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
210 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$210.00
$79.80
- YES
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
193 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$193.00
$108.08
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
205 shares @ 17.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$126.08
$91.22
- NO
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?
119 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$119.00
$19.04
- YES
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
111 shares @ 57.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$111.00
$47.49
- NO
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
82 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$82.00
$16.40
- NO
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
69 shares @ 30.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.09
$31.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?$12.89Feb 1, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?$1.70Feb 1, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$130.20Jan 26, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?$2.55Jan 21, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$37.39Jan 21, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$1.89Jan 21, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$4.20Jan 21, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "TrumpRx.gov" or "TrumpRx.com" or "TrumpRx" in January?$10.64Jan 13, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delta say "Acquisition" during earnings call?$26.00Jan 13, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$8.50Jan 13, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.61Jan 13, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$14.25Jan 13, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$34.85Jan 13, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$16.28Jan 13, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCerebras IPO before 2027?$20.00Jan 13, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCerebras IPO before 2027?$8.00Jan 13, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$7.54Jan 13, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$3.19Jan 13, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$14.70Jan 13, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$6.00Jan 13, 03:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $20.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 07:26 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 00:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".