Conscious-Form
0x405e39c9e9e8884b869d5616a71bddf76001de7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$587.83
Total PnL
$-213.12
Realised
$-10.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
500 shares @ 71.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$344.95
$-10.05
- YES
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
376 shares @ 52.9¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$105.31
$-93.81
- NO
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
206 shares @ 39.9¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$67.85
$-14.10
- YES
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?
243 shares @ 39.3¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$43.74
$-51.76
- YES
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 29.5¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$25.96
$-33.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$350.01Jun 12, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$34.00Jun 4, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$3.10Jun 3, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.00Jun 3, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMAztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?$0.00Jun 3, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMOver $6M committed to the Printr public sale?$0.00Jun 3, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 3, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 3, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLAbstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?$2.25Jun 2, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLAbstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?$19.53May 25, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$13.21May 20, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$10.00May 20, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$326.20May 19, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$338.24May 15, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$1.00May 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$5.00May 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$50.04May 15, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$300.29May 15, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$9.61May 14, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$22.54May 13, 21:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $89.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 11:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.