Unnatural-Evidence
0x4061ae5819cc3a7a49d8b393279e7591fa1ad586
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$76.05
Total PnL
$-5.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
21 shares @ 93.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
22 shares @ 89.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?
10 shares @ 97.2¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$9.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$9.30
$-1.90
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
11 shares @ 88.9¢·now 68.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.67
$-2.33
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
7 shares @ 69.8¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.98
$-0.02
- SPURS
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$4.31
$-0.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.06May 16, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.04May 16, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?$10.01May 16, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$20.06May 16, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?$7.38May 16, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$2.06May 15, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.00May 15, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.00May 15, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?$3.82May 15, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$31.21May 15, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$10.02May 15, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$10.04May 15, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$10.02May 15, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.05May 15, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.14May 15, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$5.06May 15, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$10.04May 15, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.04May 15, 13:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $7.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 13:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".