Whimsical-Quote
0x407dd149f1e92c91d0053e0240e03318a1e01bae
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$6.3K
Total PnL
$199.53
Realised
$190.03
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
3390 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.4K
$100.02
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
2000 shares @ 75.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$390.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
2286 shares @ 29.5¢·now 29.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$666.47
$-7.37
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
3111 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$326.63
$-15.55
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
2979 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$53.62
$41.70
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$9.89
$-0.10
- NO
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
6000 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-475.99
- NO
MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?
106 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-23.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$617.4555m ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3.7557m ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.0057m ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$160.4259m ago
- TRADESELLWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$5.007h ago
- TRADESELLWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$2.827h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$354.367h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$692.857h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$9.997h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$9.998h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.3K8h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$102.908h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$2.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$4.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$4.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$4.008h ago
- REWARD$1.6910h ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$404.241d ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$15.001d ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$30.001d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $142.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 55m ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
