Honest-Cufflink
0x40c2348351024cce5ba6fccd6015b77bbb77b2fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-107.24
Realised
$110.13
Win rate
86%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
73 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$71.54
$9.68
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
98 shares @ 49.1¢·now 51.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$49.81
$1.85
- YES
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
80 shares @ 52.5¢·now 57.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.59
$3.59
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
68 shares @ 54.2¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$44.89
$8.29
- NO
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
60 shares @ 68.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$41.10
$0.00
- NO
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40 shares @ 87.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$38.38
$3.38
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
49 shares @ 67.7¢·now 78.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$38.33
$5.10
- YES
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
190 shares @ 15.8¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.00
$8.00
- YES
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 61.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$37.20
$0.60
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
50 shares @ 45.4¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$31.74
$9.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5$13.60Jun 14, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.00Jun 14, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$17.41Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$14.98Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5$4.60Jun 14, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score$0.98Jun 14, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score$2.62Jun 14, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score$5.00Jun 14, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$4.50Jun 14, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?$2.30Jun 14, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.20Jun 14, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?$5.10Jun 14, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.00Jun 14, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?$4.39Jun 14, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?$1.50Jun 14, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.20Jun 14, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.20Jun 14, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$11.40Jun 14, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.60Jun 14, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?$5.52Jun 14, 02:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 21:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 10:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.