Exotic-Prize
0x40cfb29411d29f4fa0908f2a121297042cccd21d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$121.8K
Total PnL
$29.2K
Realised
$15.0K
Win rate
78%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
24636 shares @ 82.5¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$24.2K
$3.9K
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
11223 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.0K
$1.1K
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
48736 shares @ 20.1¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.0K
$-761.35
- YES
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
17333 shares @ 32.3¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.0K
$1.4K
- NO
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
5375 shares @ 77.7¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.0K
$819.83
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
5565 shares @ 83.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.6K
$-68.70
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
16366 shares @ 15.2¢·now 27.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.5K
$2.1K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
8000 shares @ 41.5¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.4K
$1.0K
- YES
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
4500 shares @ 91.7¢·now 96.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.3K
$214.00
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
5000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.2K
$-75.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$6.97Jun 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$100.00Jun 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$64.18Jun 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$91.02Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$412.50Jun 13, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$277.00Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$245.20Jun 13, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$500.00Jun 13, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$97.33Jun 13, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$0.70Jun 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$557.08Jun 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.7KJun 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$735.00Jun 13, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$168.04Jun 13, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$742.21Jun 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.56Jun 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$66.23Jun 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$225.00Jun 13, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$80.76Jun 13, 11:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $237.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 04:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.