Stark-Brother
0x40eb64e03e1ba81e1e690e768e3e48ce91f53f31
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
176
Open notional
$704.09
Total PnL
$-7.7K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 176- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
526 shares @ 32.3¢·now 39.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$205.33
$35.33
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
2027 shares @ 7.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$131.76
$-18.24
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
302 shares @ 50.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.54
$-69.46
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
484 shares @ 31.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.84
$-70.16
- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
158 shares @ 31.7¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.33
$16.33
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
311 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.84
$-0.15
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
129 shares @ 15.6¢·now 22.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.43
$9.43
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
566 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.15
$-0.85
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
632 shares @ 9.5¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.68
$-36.32
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
1011 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.03
$-6.97
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$494.35Jun 11, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.85Jun 11, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.26Jun 11, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$12.05Jun 11, 13:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $112.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.