Meek-Liquidity
0x411370250021393332aa1fd1136a0715bfd7042e
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$7.14
Total PnL
$-559.70
Realised
$14.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?
512 shares @ 5.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$6.65
$-20.07
- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 220m?
732 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.37
$-150.54
- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 210m and 220m?
252 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.13
$-24.87
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
5000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?
1388 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-38.05
- YES
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?
687 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-47.67
- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?
342 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- CARANO
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano
263 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?
260 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-40.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
209 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?$27.99Aug 6, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 210m and 220m?$26.13Aug 4, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 220m?$52.12Aug 4, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 220m?$104.69Aug 4, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$745.70Aug 1, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$52.33Jul 6, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?$52.13Jul 6, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$50.00Jun 9, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUY MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano$51.21May 16, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$40.00Apr 26, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?$50.00Apr 25, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?$42.00Apr 22, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?$40.61Apr 21, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?$40.00Apr 20, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?$40.56Apr 14, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$33.00Apr 12, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$34.96Apr 12, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$47.00Apr 12, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?$39.00Apr 11, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$5.00Apr 10, 22:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $57.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 21:34 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 17:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.