Phony-Cormorant
0x417334bb6e2d196c2b7c150e2d85884bfb6c3d21
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$22.21
Total PnL
$-83.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$8.27
$0.04
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.44
$0.44
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.82
$0.02
- YES
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?
8 shares @ 71.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.98
$-2.52
- YES
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.70
$-2.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
2200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Jody Barrett win TN-7 Special Election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 16 straight weeks?
1139 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Solana reach $230 October 27-November 2?
721 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4.80Jun 2, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?$4.73Jun 2, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?$8.02Jun 2, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$8.80Jun 2, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$6.25May 24, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?$4.41May 24, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$5.00May 24, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?$6.43May 24, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$8.24May 15, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$3.10May 15, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?$5.40May 10, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?$4.42May 10, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?$3.54May 3, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?$4.84May 3, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?$5.73May 3, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$2.80Apr 23, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$5.00Apr 23, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?$5.40Apr 17, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?$1.90Apr 17, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMBlackhawks vs. Sharks$5.00Apr 17, 08:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $45.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 07:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 10:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".