Defensive-Candidate
0x4192d12c284fdce3f3cdbb813a028c2827a1278e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$115.99
Total PnL
$-350.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
30 shares @ 99.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$29.53
$-0.47
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
21 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.36
$0.36
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
12 shares @ 90.5¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.38
$0.39
- NO
SBF released from custody in 2026?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.28
$0.28
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
11 shares @ 82.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.14
$0.94
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
11 shares @ 91.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.08
$0.08
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
5 shares @ 95.7¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3 shares @ 78.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.55
$0.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$2.11Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$8.07Jun 8, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$1.56Jun 7, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$2.00Jun 7, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$1.03Jun 7, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.01Jun 7, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 7?$82.42Jun 7, 02:28 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 7?$50.00Jun 7, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 7?$28.91Jun 7, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 7?$0.59Jun 7, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.04Jun 7, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 7?$26.00Jun 7, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 7?$26.36Jun 7, 02:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $18.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 15:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.