Infamous-Meatloaf
0x41b684f33bd7d277ee1af437fa3bb4153e4c8f2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$752.41
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$118.92
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?
419 shares @ 78.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$350.10
$19.11
- NO
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?
230 shares @ 53.2¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$195.49
$73.20
- NO
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?
248 shares @ 47.1¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$151.17
$34.39
- NO
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?
41 shares @ 63.2¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.05
$9.29
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
41 shares @ 14.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.53
$1.83
- NO
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?
7 shares @ 58.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.94
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 44.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.05
$-0.35
- YES
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?
10 shares @ 30.9¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.68
$-1.46
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.30
$-10.70
- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
402 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.60
$-12.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$82.51Jul 12, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$85.48Jul 12, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.91Jul 12, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.60Jul 12, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.62Jul 12, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.88Jul 12, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.74Jul 12, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.25Jul 12, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$93.40Jul 10, 15:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$200.00Jul 7, 15:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$47.75Jul 5, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48.06Jul 5, 19:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $27.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 18:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.