Clumsy-Chill
0x41be7b7b06b0123ce295a27128d487b548642310
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$28.83
Total PnL
$2.50
Realised
$0.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$16.68
$13.67
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?
7 shares @ 58.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$7.13
$2.97
- L1GA TEAM
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.97
$0.95
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 52.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.06
$0.56
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
384 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
327 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.38
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
201 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
38 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
27 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$1.09May 13, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.78May 13, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B$2.04May 5, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1.65May 5, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$0.07May 1, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$0.20May 1, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.06Apr 26, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1.35Apr 25, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$0.39Apr 25, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$0.34Apr 25, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$0.63Apr 25, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.05Apr 23, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.02Apr 23, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.25Apr 23, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$3.01Apr 23, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.81Apr 23, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.36Apr 23, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$0.01Apr 21, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$1.05Apr 21, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$0.01Apr 21, 16:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 10:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 20:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.