0x41d154fbd89226f66fab783496e1bac5e7c9a413
0x41d154fbd89226f66fab783496e1bac5e7c9a413
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
66
Open notional
$179.00
Total PnL
$49.42
Realised
$1.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$100.00
$95.00
- YES
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$25.00
$23.00
- CELTICS
Magic vs. Celtics
12 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$12.19
$10.24
- NO
Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$6.45
$4.45
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
39 shares @ 12.7¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.28
$1.28
- NO
Will Trump say "Weather" or "Rain" or "Raining" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$6.25
$4.25
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
12 shares @ 17.1¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.20
$1.20
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$2.62
$0.65
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
25 shares @ 8.1¢·now 9.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.33
$0.33
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Rutte say "Hungary" during meeting with Prime Minister of Czechia?$0.24Apr 16, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Rutte say "Europe" during meeting with Prime Minister of Czechia?$3.99Apr 16, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$6.28Apr 16, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?$6.10Apr 16, 20:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.22Apr 12, 20:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".