0x41da276fd5662f410946d24293182c5f9910dbd7
0x41da276fd5662f410946d24293182c5f9910dbd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 2?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 29?$1.23Apr 27, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$0.58Apr 27, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$0.46Apr 27, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.23Mar 28, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Mar 19, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?$0.39Mar 19, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$0.67Mar 19, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Mar 16, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?$0.51Mar 16, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?$0.48Mar 16, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.00Mar 8, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 2?$1.00Mar 8, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?$1.00Mar 8, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 8, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?$1.00Mar 8, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?$0.20Mar 8, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLTulsi Gabbard out by March 31?$0.61Mar 8, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.08Mar 8, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$1.00Feb 28, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Feb 28, 08:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $0.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 11:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 20:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.