Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$21.11
Liquidity
$4.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1573.1h
- 10:55SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1573h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
7- 0¢0.0pp
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?
Business · Vol $11.99
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day?
Business · Vol $378.38
- 1¢-0.1pp
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $300B and $350B at market close on IPO day?
Business · Vol $66.51
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day?
Business · Vol $11.99
- 1¢-0.6pp
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Business · Vol $11.99
- 97¢+1.7pp
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Business · Vol $79.79
Market Description
This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).