Infamous-Performance
0x41f0aa18c7993751fd4330f9612f593a4c4630bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$5.11
Total PnL
$-41.86
Realised
$-0.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 7.0% and 8.0%?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$5.12May 12, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 12, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$1.00May 12, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$1.00May 12, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.04May 12, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$5.19May 8, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$0.48May 5, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$0.14Apr 30, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$1.00Apr 30, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$0.14Apr 30, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?$1.00Apr 30, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$0.10Apr 30, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Apr 30, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$0.23Apr 30, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during astronaut greeting?$0.16Apr 29, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 28?$0.00Apr 29, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$0.00Apr 29, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alanyaspor win on 2026-04-27?$0.00Apr 29, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 29, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMWendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5$0.00Apr 29, 04:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 21:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 17:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.