Personal-Gator
0x42134d3cf5043f1fb480d7017bb0e024e4c267f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-246.53
Realised
$12.45
Win rate
2%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
13000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-35.99
- YES
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
9882 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-31.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
6067 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.89
- YES
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
5890 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.88
- DOWN
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?
5860 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.85
- NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
5469 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?$1.00Jun 19, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$1.00Jun 19, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $1.00Jun 19, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $1.00Jun 19, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$1.00Jun 19, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?$1.00Jun 19, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$1.00Jun 19, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$1.00Jun 11, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?$1.00Jun 9, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?$1.00Jun 9, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$2.00Jun 9, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.00Jun 9, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$1.00Jun 8, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$2.00Jun 8, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$1.06Jun 5, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$0.61Jun 5, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$1.00Jun 5, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$5.00Jun 4, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$1.00Jun 4, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?$0.00Jun 4, 13:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 44 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
44 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 03:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 23:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.