Soft-Cornet-Man
0x4292c99987e418a2a6ec69f2ba9aa79086a44a08
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$16.1K
Total PnL
$-37.9K
Realised
$-694.27
Win rate
43%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
4699 shares @ 88.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.2K
$62.54
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
2304 shares @ 68.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.5K
$-46.60
- NO
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1368 shares @ 94.9¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.3K
$-0.62
- NO
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
1182 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.1K
$2.22
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
1415 shares @ 79.1¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.1K
$-8.92
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?
970 shares @ 92.7¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$904.71
$5.65
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
820 shares @ 87.9¢·now 88.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$726.52
$5.42
- NO
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?
617 shares @ 90.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$595.88
$37.76
- YES
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?
847 shares @ 66.1¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$584.76
$24.22
- NO
MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch?
563 shares @ 90.4¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$530.85
$21.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?$213.93Aug 18, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.12Aug 18, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?$3.82Aug 18, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$130.00Aug 18, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $10M committed to the Multipli public sale?$1.02Aug 18, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $500k committed to the Multipli public sale?$0.08Aug 18, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $50M committed to the Multipli public sale?$62.71Aug 18, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $8M committed to the Multipli public sale?$18.69Aug 18, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $10M committed to the Multipli public sale?$1.32Aug 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $1M committed to the Multipli public sale?$1.50Aug 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $30M committed to the Multipli public sale?$0.80Aug 18, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?$35.20Aug 18, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $250k committed to the Multipli public sale?$199.80Aug 18, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$167.70Aug 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $100M committed to the Multipli public sale?$19.90Aug 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $4M committed to the Multipli public sale?$13.00Aug 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?$3.30Aug 18, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $20M committed to the Multipli public sale?$0.81Aug 18, 08:04 UTC
- MERGEOver $50M committed to the Multipli public sale?$19.99Aug 18, 08:02 UTC
- MERGEOver $100M committed to the Multipli public sale?$20.00Aug 18, 08:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $32.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 20:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.