Shameless-Anesthesiology
0x42f63233e7166667d8a3d3d8fc0e3e5bf7ac76e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
91
Open notional
$71.45
Total PnL
$-978.52
Realised
$-39.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
222 shares @ 22.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.54
$-24.46
- YES
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
120 shares @ 47.7¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.12
$-34.93
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
288 shares @ 10.4¢·now 3.8¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$10.79
$-19.21
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.50
$-9.50
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
549 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
275 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.92
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
263 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?
209 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$22.22Jul 11, 20:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$42.40Jul 7, 22:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$14.97Jun 30, 16:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-28?$30.73Jun 28, 18:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$54.24Jun 26, 18:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$95.63Jun 25, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$17.93Jun 25, 14:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $31.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 20:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.