Distinct-Shelter-Compromise
0x430c26b54b0203fdff6b04459a0f8c919c1aee80
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.97
Total PnL
$-24.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$0.71
$-4.29
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
104 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.26
$-4.74
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in March?
442 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?
389 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22)$0.00Mar 23, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22)$5.00Mar 20, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYPeople's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?$5.00Mar 20, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?$5.00Mar 20, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.20 in March?$5.00Mar 20, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$5.00Mar 20, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 20, 10:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 10:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 15:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.