Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 10331h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $10.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Uber Technologies, Inc. invites Travis Kalanick to return to the company in any formal role between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying invitation refers to a definitive request, offer, or solicitation by Uber for Travis Kalanick to assume a formal role within the company. Qualifying roles include any official position at Uber Technologies, Inc., including but not limited to executive roles, advisory roles, or membership on the company’s Board of Directors. This market will also resolve to “Yes” if Travis Kalanick joins Uber Technologies, Inc. in any formal role during the market’s timeframe, even if the invitation or request from Uber was not publicly disclosed. Speculation, rumors, or discussions about a potential return will not qualify unless Uber definitively invites Travis Kalanick to return or Travis Kalanick actually joins the company in a qualifying role. Partnerships, investments, or business relationships between Uber and companies founded, owned, or operated by Travis Kalanick will not qualify unless Travis Kalanick himself assumes a formal role within Uber. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements or filings from Uber Technologies, Inc.; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.