0x43645d259f27bab943027f1ec9b9b5edbeccfc2e
0x43645d259f27bab943027f1ec9b9b5edbeccfc2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-140.16
Realised
$-27.67
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
168 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$2.13Jun 11, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?$1.00Apr 22, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?$1.00Apr 22, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?$1.00Apr 22, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 24?$1.00Apr 22, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 24?$1.00Apr 22, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$1.00Mar 30, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 6?$1.00Feb 28, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 3?$1.00Feb 28, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 1?$1.00Feb 28, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 1?$1.00Feb 28, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1?$1.00Feb 28, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Feb 20, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Feb 18, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?$1.00Feb 17, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Grok 4.20 be released on February 14, 2026?$0.03Feb 14, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$1.00Feb 6, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?$1.00Feb 6, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$1.00Feb 6, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 5, 07:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 19:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.