Whispered-Subway
0x437f377bfe6490c4c066f3dd0318a433b6a7513f
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.87
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$0.49
$-0.51
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$0.27
$-0.73
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 4PM ET
600 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-198.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6PM ET
600 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-198.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
600 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-198.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
600 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-185.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
400 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
200 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-79.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.03Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$6.70Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$1.06Jun 14, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.02Jun 14, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$1.00Jun 14, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.00Jun 14, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.01Jun 14, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.10Jun 14, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.33Jun 14, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.14Jun 14, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?$10.26Jun 14, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$20.02May 28, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$20.00May 27, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.01May 27, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.00May 27, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.00May 27, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$1.01May 27, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.02May 27, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 27, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 27, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $503.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 09:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.