Winding-Holder
0x43a527fec8f5f07699b962385b1dbf2b37db8edc
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$11.30
Total PnL
$-397.91
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 83.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.38
$3.38
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 16.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.61
$-3.38
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
7 shares @ -0.1¢·now 17.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.25
$1.26
- YES
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
7 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
7 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
7 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
7 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
1524 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.64
- YES
Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
1524 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.64
- YES
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?
1524 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.64
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 00:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".