Threadbare-Cable
0x43b1339f5113e4f159758ad7534ebdb510d163db
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$255.48
Total PnL
$-10.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
59 shares @ 84.4¢·now 84.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.21
$0.21
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
49 shares @ 61.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.98
$0.98
- NO
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
42 shares @ 72.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?
38 shares @ 80.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$22.50
$-7.50
- NO
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
22 shares @ 68.1¢·now 96.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$21.17
$6.17
- NO
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
23 shares @ 88.7¢·now 88.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.06
$0.06
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
33 shares @ 61.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.51
$-1.49
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
20 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.14
$0.49
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$11.98
$1.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?$30.3010h ago
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$39.9710h ago
- YIELD$0.0223h ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- YIELD$0.014d ago
- YIELD$0.015d ago
- YIELD$0.016d ago
- YIELD$0.017d ago
- YIELD$0.018d ago
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled by June 30?$15.008d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$10.008d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$25.148d ago
- YIELD$0.019d ago
- YIELD$0.0110d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$15.6510d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$10.0010d ago
- YIELD$0.0111d ago
- YIELD$0.0112d ago
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$30.0012d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $25.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 24d ago
- Last active
- 10h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".