Knowledgeable-Astrology
0x4449047c21648dec8fb68caeacdcf5f65c7ccae1
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-381.67
Realised
$28.04
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
500 shares @ 59.7¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$327.29
$28.76
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
340 shares @ 63.9¢·now 77.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$263.39
$46.30
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
327 shares @ 66.9¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$210.61
$-7.93
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
200 shares @ 85.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$177.00
$7.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in July?
50 shares @ 65.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$41.50
$9.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?
696 shares @ 56.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-396.01
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?
103 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.23
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
100 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
90 shares @ 65.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-58.90
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?
50 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in July?$32.50Jul 19, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in July?$10.00Jul 19, 07:38 UTC
- REWARD$1.36Jul 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$66.00Jul 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$108.62Jul 17, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$77.38Jul 17, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$52.71Jul 16, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$101.83Jul 16, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$171.02Jul 16, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$31.36Jul 16, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in July?$65.91Jul 16, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$194.68Jul 16, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$50.01Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?$100.00Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$262.01Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?$203.59Jun 30, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$65.00Jun 29, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in June?$3.99Jun 29, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in June?$0.31Jun 29, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in June?$24.50Jun 29, 06:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $49.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 15:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 17:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.