Detailed-Synthesis
0x44cf1adbef03497ae2f469bd9cd5da3de6e02211
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$-14.9K
Realised
$314.91
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
20058 shares @ 16.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$-1.4K
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
8566 shares @ 32.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$1.5K
$-1.3K
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
17109 shares @ 8.8¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-417.27
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
17365 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$147.60
$-579.51
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
10223 shares @ 9.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$107.34
$-852.62
- YES
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
180 shares @ 58.1¢·now 48.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.02
$-16.64
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?
1474 shares @ 10.9¢·now 3.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.54
$-105.78
- YES
Kash Patel out by June 30?
778 shares @ 36.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.56
$-230.66
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
8964 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$31.37
$-143.45
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
3704 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$20.37
$-79.63
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?$16.61Jun 2, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?$5.13Jun 2, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$53.88Jun 2, 18:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?$44.91Jun 1, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$86.35Jun 1, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?$53.74Jun 1, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?$25.84Jun 1, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$53.95Jun 1, 09:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $43.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.