Detailed-Synthesis
0x44cf1adbef03497ae2f469bd9cd5da3de6e02211
Quality score
95/100
Open positions
30
Open notional
$10.5K
Total PnL
$-9.8K
Realised
$314.91
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
20058 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.3K
$-40.32
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
8566 shares @ 32.5¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$2.2K
$-556.66
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
17109 shares @ 8.8¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$-229.07
- YES
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
19807 shares @ 5.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.1K
$-56.53
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
3517 shares @ 23.6¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$738.53
$-91.45
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
10690 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$587.94
$-53.45
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
19357 shares @ 5.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$212.93
$-903.99
- YES
Kash Patel out by April 30?
1551 shares @ 22.6¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$186.17
$-163.83
- YES
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?
182 shares @ 65.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$143.11
$23.11
- YES
Kash Patel out by June 30?
222 shares @ 36.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$130.08
$48.85
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.094h ago
- YIELD$0.101d ago
- YIELD$0.102d ago
- YIELD$0.103d ago
- YIELD$0.104d ago
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$629.004d ago
- YIELD$0.115d ago
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$150.005d ago
- YIELD$0.136d ago
- YIELD$0.107d ago
- YIELD$0.128d ago
- YIELD$0.129d ago
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$369.7010d ago
- YIELD$0.1110d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$266.0011d ago
- YIELD$0.0511d ago
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$534.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$300.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$300.0012d ago
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$32.6912d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $107.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 16d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.