Favorable-Spelt
0x44d034e7439737a75b39204293da571478836710
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$22.60
Total PnL
$-6.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 34.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$14.00
$9.16
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.27
$3.49
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.99
$0.01
- YES
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 10.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.34
$-2.75
- NO
Will "Too late" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 17?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 17?
61 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$0.98Feb 19, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$1.20Feb 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$0.89Feb 16, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$0.11Feb 16, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$1.08Feb 16, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$1.00Feb 15, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?$1.08Feb 15, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$1.28Feb 14, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?$1.21Feb 14, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.15Feb 14, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$1.10Feb 13, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$1.28Feb 13, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?$1.50Feb 13, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.94Feb 11, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?$1.00Jan 17, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 17?$10.00Jan 17, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Too late" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.00Jan 17, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 17, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 17?$1.00Jan 17, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 17?$1.00Jan 17, 02:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 03:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".