Sinful-Quota
0x44f138000b168e7783e4292914faf3ec4b761229
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$8.45
Total PnL
$-212.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.91
$-4.09
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
41 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.54
$-2.74
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
856 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-23.97
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
579 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-55.15
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
330 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.60
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of January?
302 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.55
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
219 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
112 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?$91.78May 14, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?$74.01May 11, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$36.60May 11, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$5.00Mar 7, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$10.00Mar 7, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$10.00Mar 7, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$62.50Mar 4, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$55.15Feb 5, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$55.14Feb 5, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$0.00Feb 5, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$0.81Feb 2, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$0.26Feb 2, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$0.19Feb 2, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$0.03Feb 2, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$0.04Feb 2, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$0.07Feb 2, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$0.53Feb 2, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$0.06Feb 2, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$0.14Feb 2, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $8.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 15:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".