0x450b829ff1defc000dc96db28123b8617c481daa
0x450b829ff1defc000dc96db28123b8617c481daa
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$10.54
Total PnL
$-1.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
1 shares @ 67.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$1.48
$0.48
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
US government shutdown Saturday?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Jan 27, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Jan 27, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Jan 27, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 27, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?$1.00Jan 27, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 27, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 27, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?$1.00Jan 27, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Jan 27, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$992.06Jan 27, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$993.06Jan 27, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$993.06Jan 27, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$994.06Jan 27, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$994.06Jan 27, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$995.06Jan 27, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$995.06Jan 27, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$996.07Jan 27, 04:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $536.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 04:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 04:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.