Stiff-Dueling
0x4520f1c6b25b19cb5186840e9a9ecfa1a8a2dba7
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$147.07
Total PnL
$-3.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
147 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$147.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Google be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?
184 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$147.01May 17, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?$147.15May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?$147.01May 16, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$147.19May 14, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$146.91May 14, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$146.15May 10, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$146.01May 9, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$146.15May 6, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$146.01May 6, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$146.63May 5, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$145.94May 4, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$100.30Apr 30, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?$45.14Apr 30, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$100.01Apr 30, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?$45.01Apr 30, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$145.29Apr 30, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$145.01Apr 29, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$145.33Apr 29, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$144.92Apr 22, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?$144.92Apr 22, 09:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $116.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 09:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 06:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".