Humble-Permafrost
0x458f5700324b6800c9dde36885bc631d7beb9bb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$11.02
Total PnL
$-266.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
12 shares @ 49.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.73
$3.73
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.48
$-0.52
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.20
$-9.80
- NO
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
16000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
1175 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
331 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-40.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$6.09May 27, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens$20.26May 11, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$6.94May 11, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$31.00May 10, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.00May 9, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLCanadiens vs. Sabres$43.43May 9, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.25May 8, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.26May 8, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.10May 8, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$6.94May 8, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$5.10May 8, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$20.32May 8, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$51.80May 8, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$1.00May 8, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$12.00May 2, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$16.64May 2, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.00Apr 6, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$15.00Mar 12, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$5.00Mar 12, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.01Mar 12, 01:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $9.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 22:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 17:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.